Tuesday, September 3, 2013

CY Young Award Race

CY Young Award Race
Cody Goggin
9-3-13  7:22 pm

OWENSVILLE, MO-Every year, to the best pitcher in Major League Baseball, the Cy Young award is given out. This is one of the most prestige awards in the game and is only giving to the most deserving of hurlers. Some years the winner is clear-cut, but other times it is a close race won by a mere point in ERA or a couple extra strikeouts. Most of the pitchers that win this award have helped their team to success and usually a playoff run, but this is an individual award that their name will be on forever. Every season, both a winner from the National League and a winner from the American League are crowned Cy Young award winners and join an elite group of pitching legends.
This year in the American League, one pitcher has set himself apart from the rest by having an 18-1 record up to this point in the season. These 18 wins out of the first 19 decisions by Max Scherzer of the Detroit Tigers has not been accomplished since Roger Clemens did it. However I am here to tell you that this amazing start does not make him the most deserving of the honor. My pick to win the American League Cy Young award is Felix Hernandez. This may seem a little but out there, but let me explain why.
What is that you say? You think I’m crazy for even questioning a guy with 19 wins? I will show you my reasoning now then. Yu Darvish of the Texas Rangers has been absolutely spectacular this year. The second year Asian sensation that came to the Texas Rangers in 2012 from playing professional baseball in Japan has taken the league by storm. He is dominating Major League Baseball in the strikeout department. No one is even close. Darvish has 225 strikeouts this year, which is 29 more than Scherzer has. This stat shows how devastating Darvish’s repertoire is. Ever since his arrival in the Majors, Yu has been putting up a lot of K’s.
            As of August 29th, Yu Darvish’s earned run average is lower than Scherzer’s at 2.68 compared to 2.73. Scherzer is allowing more runs per nine innings than Darvish is. The reason that Scherzer has seven more wins than Darvish is due to the fact that the amount of run support Max Scherzer receives is ridiculous. Detroit has a lineup stacked with some of the best hitters in the game and average over six runs a game when Max is on the mound, which is the highest run support for any pitcher in the MLB this season. That means even if Scherzer allows five runs in a start, he still will most likely get the win or no decision. In my book, that should be a loss. Many people around baseball agree that not much weight can be put on the win-loss record due to how flawed the system is. One pitcher could pitch a full nine innings and allow one run while his counterpart on the bump will throw a shutout and the pitcher that threw a gem would be credited with a loss. In the opposite way, a pitcher could give up seven runs in a span of five innings, which is terrible, however, if his team scores eight runs, then that pitcher is credited with a win. Do you see the problem here? That is why for the purpose of this article I created a grading method of each pitcher’s performances in individual games this year and broke down each of their starts. Pitchers that allowed two runs or less and pitched 6+ innings should get credit for a win. If they allowed 3-4 runs and pitcher 6+ innings then they get a no decision. In starts where the starting pitcher either threw less than five innings or allowed five or more runs, they would be credited with the loss. I adjusted the records and by these metrics Scherzer should be 17-4 compared to 19-1, which is still great, but I am just showing you how flawed the win-loss record is.
            Yu Darvish should be the Cy Young award winner as of right now because he has meant more to his pitching staff and to his team than any other pitcher in the American League this season. His ability to miss bats and his lower earned run average has shown that he has been more dominant than Max Scherzer in 2013 as of right now.
            In the National League you have a different story. There is no pitcher with a ton of wins, but rather one pitcher who leads almost every category and is blowing the rest of the field away in ERA. This pitcher has led his team to first place and there is actually whispering of him being in the MVP race. Clayton Kershaw of the Los Angeles Dodgers has seemingly made the Cy Young award a one horse race.
            Kershaw only has a record of 13-8, however, I used ,my adjusted record stat on him and he should be. What is really appealing about Clayton Kershaw is his ERA of 1.72. That is a ludicrous number since anything under two runs is considered great. Another category that Kershaw is impressing in is his WHIP, or Walks and Hits Per Inning Pitched. For this category, anything under 1.00 is seen as dominant. Kershaw has a WHIP of 0.88 in 2013. With 197 strikeouts, Kershaw also leads the Senior Circuit in that respect. Kershaw is also only allowing 5.91 hits per nine innings, which is also astonishing.  This year Kershaw has proved that he is not only the ace of the Dodgers staff, but also the “ace” of the National League.
            Numbers never lie, and that what my side of the argument is showing. Sure, there are other candidates for the award that one could make a valid case for, but these two are the ones that stand out the most to me. Both of these pitchers have showed enough this season to be named the Cy Young award winners of their respective leagues.  No other pitchers have been more important to their teams or more dominant this season. Case closed.

Agree or disagree? Vote or leave comments!

No comments:

Post a Comment